Monday, December 10, 2012

So you think you can trade ...


I found an interesting online stock trading game some years ago and played around with it some.  The results were quite discouraging.  Recently tried it again and I’ve either gotten better at this, or simply got very lucky.

Here’s the link if you want to give it a try :
[ this seems to format best using IE, ugh ]


When playing Chartgame, the computer will present you with a random historical stock chart of an actual large cap (S&P 500) security, without telling you which company and time period the chart represents.

You are then given the opportunity to reveal the stock chart one day at a time, with an option to buy or sell short the stock at the next day’s open.  Once in a position, you can advance one day at a time until you decide to sell or cover, or until one year has elapsed.  You also have the option to skip to the next chart if the current one doesn’t seem interesting.

Here are my results from a recent session :

Player performance
Security Time period Days in  Cash in/out Gain  
Equifax Inc.  (EFX) Nov 20, 2007
Feb 07, 2008
43/53 $10,000.00
$9,587.68
-4.12%
Eastman Kodak Co.  (EK) Sep 19, 2005
Apr 25, 2006
109/150 $9,587.68
$10,821.74
+12.87%
Dow Jones & Co. Inc.  (DJ) Jul 08, 2003
Oct 02, 2003
18/61 $10,821.74
$10,533.66
-2.66%
Altera Corp.  (ALTR) Aug 31, 2006
Mar 19, 2007
92/135 $10,533.66
$12,172.23
+15.56%
Aetna Inc.  (AET) Jul 01, 2004
Oct 12, 2004
32/71 $12,172.23
$13,148.88
+8.02%
Best Buy Co. Inc.  (BBY) Jul 14, 1997
Sep 24, 1997
19/51 $13,148.88
$17,063.20
+29.77%
OfficeMax Inc.  (OMX) Dec 18, 2003
Feb 04, 2004
10/31 $17,063.19
$18,555.52
+8.75%
State Street Corp.  (STT) Feb 25, 1999
Jun 03, 1999
48/68 $18,555.52
$20,946.55
+12.89%
Alberto-Culver Co.  (ACV) Jun 10, 2005
Mar 27, 2006
197/199 $20,946.54
$20,900.42
-0.22%
Totals: 568/2390 $20,900.42 +109.0%

That’s not too shabby.  I might have to start trading stocks again, lol.

It’s important to note that it’s just a simulation.  Without real money on the line, there’s not much psychological pressure.  But still, I think it may be a useful training tool.  It will be interesting to see if I can come up with decent results in subsequent sessions.

It’s also important to note that I was very selective, using the “next chart” button whenever a chart didn’t grab me.  If it looked ok, but not set up properly, I would not be shy about advancing day by day until it set up or I missed the trade.   Also, I did no short sales in this session, recalling that shorts tended to hurt me in previous attempts.